Bull Rally Taking a Pause...

This is a good video. It is likely  a pause or a profit taking time before it rises again.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_jdPadv8zDg&t=2s





Last week, I wrote an email about selling the leaders, buying the laggards. Some of the stock markets, e.g. Chinese mainland A market index has hit the very lagging but important indicator. The monthly MACD has finally triggered the “Golden Cross”. At this stage, the bull rally is confirmed but there may be a pause of a few weeks to a month or two where those who bought in January / Feb take some profits. We may see a small pull back of 5 to 10%. But the bull rally should resume from here. It could be another 10 to 40% upside even if there is no rally.

A recap of what we have done:
1.       January 2019, continued to buy into H2O Multibonds. It is up 15% year to date.
2.       March 2019, dollar cost average into UBS China A Opportunity and First State Dividend Advantage. UBS China A is up between 2% and 10% depending on when in March you buy. First State up 1 to 5%.
3.       April 2019, continue to dollar cost average into UBS China A Opp and First State Div but at a smaller amount. Dollar cost into H2O Multibonds.

At this point, about 80% of clients who advised by me, who started in 2017 are in positive territory, with profits ranging from 3% to around 10%.
75% of clients who started investing with me in early 2018, right at the peak, are in profit, ranging from 1% to 7%.
95% of clients who started investing with me in second half of 2018 are in profit, ranging from 5 to 20%.





Jeffrey Ong CFA, CAIA

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