Musings about Life and Investments

  This is an interesting piece of data. Since WWII, when the S&P500 fell in the three months leading up to the November vote during a presidential election year, the incumbent president or party of the outgoing president has lost the election 88% of the time. Similarly, when the S&P500 rises during that period, the incumbent or party of the outgoing president has won 82% of the time.     https://edition.cnn.com/2020/11/01/investing/stock-market-joe-biden-donald-trump-election/index.html         It is predicting a razor thin, Biden victory! The S&P500 fell 0.04% between July 31 and Oct 31.   Now the lock down in England has begun, while the Covid Virus death and infection rates are at a new high.   https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/     I will stick to “stay-at-home” stocks. I’m rubbing my hand with glee as many of the stocks that ran away after the April rally are now back below 50 days MA and nearly at 150 days ...

  This is the track record of my CPF investments. Some of you mentioned that “I cannot apply to me”. Well, if you want a live feed of my investments and follow along, I can send them to you, at your own risk. If you enter at a different timing, do not take up all the suggestions, then the result will be different. But it serves as a reference of how you can make money. Results will always be different due to the decisions you make, your temperament. I have several accounts for different sorts of investments so this is purely for CPF. I do NOT invest in Singapore shares as I believe it is too slow and we DO NOT have world beaters in our midst. The best companies are either listed in HK or the US. So I use unit trusts to reflect my thoughts.     This is my holdings for Fundsupermart. The unrealised profit is roughly 13.88%. Almost every fund except H2O Multibonds is in double digit profits. I bought them in 2020. I will show you the historical transactions.     Th...

 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XU4Xzuw-Jdw My latest YouTube update. If you like it, please give me a "thumbs up". It helps me with the algorithms. :-) https://www.msn.com/en-sg/travel/news/post-9-11-proved-even-the-most-wary-of-americans-would-travel-again-here-s-why-booking-holdings-ceo-believes-the-same-will-happen-after-covid-19/ar-BB19tCIn?li=BBr8Cnr Here's an article by Bookings Holding on why travel will rebound back eventually, just like it did after 911. 

 I entered this correction with an asset allocation of 62.5% equities, 5% precious metals, 5% short equities, 27.5% cash. I was nett long 57.5% in other words. I also had a small leverage of 50%.  The S&P500 is down 9.5% and my portfolio has switched to 62% long, 5% precious metals, 20% short, 13% cash. I am now 42% nett long. My leverage has fallen to 39%.  I'm quite proud of my positioning because my portfolio is down just 6.4%. I am leveraged but yet I'm faring better. I've also held a whole bunch of tech stocks that supposed fell over 10% but I'm still ok.  I think this correction is a great opportunity to buy. I'll show you why. I have been making use of this correction to pick up good companies that I’ve missed out on from April to now. Latest addition is HK Exchange, 388 HK. It is a booming business as many Chinese ADRs in the US may switch to HK for dual listing status. You can buy outright, do an Accumulator or Equity Linked Note on this to collect yiel...

 I did two videos last night on the correction of stock markets. The truth is, we cannot buy at the bottom each time. In the short term, the stock market is a voting machine. In the longer term, it is a weighing machine. I will stick to stocks and sectors where the fundamental values are below their intrinsic values.  This blog post is purely for financial education, not financial advice.  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qkW3GeuPz98&t=475s https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YHgQtXf9ldk The VIX is coming down gradually, but the rate of infection rates is rising, and death rates on a daily basis has plateaued. The virus is still around and I'll stick to tech stocks for now. I feel that as long as a cure hasn't been found, a vaccine not found, old economy stocks will find it harder to recover. The S&P500 is by no means very expensive. It's divided into tech stocks that are very high in PE, oil & gas, banking stocks in cheap territory. 

  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8HlFClsNo5Q My latest VLOG. :-)

  Jeffrey’s Fear of Missing Out Technique   I’ve been wanting to write about the FOMO trade. It’s the “Fear of Missing Out” trade where most people missed the rally from Apr to now. I’ve been meaning to introduce to you the “JFOMO” trade which is “Jeffrey’s FOMO” trade. It deals with your emotions when you have missed out on the rally.   Statistically, a 5% correction of the S&P500 occurs twice a year. A 10% correction once a year. A 15% correction once in 2 years. A 20% correction once in 3 years. A 30% correction once in 5 years. A 40% correction once in 10 years. A 50% correction once in 20 years. Sounds about right?   If you’re waiting for a correction of 5% before entering, you could be waiting for 6 months and then it happens. During that 6 months, Amazon could rise 60%, Meituan 150%, Tesla 300%. So a 5 to 10% correction may not be worth the wait.   So I’ve devised a scheme called “JFOMO”. If you have a budget of 100k, put 10% every month into the trad...